Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Federal Civilian Earnings Growth
Across Kansas Counties
Real* Federal Civilian
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Federal Civilian
Earnings Growth
Kansas:
2010-2022 = 2.63%
2022 = 5.92%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real federal civilian earnings growth across all of Kansas' 105 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Kansas Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real federal civilian earnings growth of Kansas' 105 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Federal Civilian
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Federal Civilian
Earnings Growth
Kansas:
2010-2022 = 2.63%
2022 = 5.92%
This figure displays the 105 counties of Kansas as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real federal civilian earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real federal civilian earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 2.63%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 2.63% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (2.63%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 14 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 91 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 34 counties whose most recent (2022) real federal civilian earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (5.92%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 71 counties whose real federal civilian earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 105 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 2.63% over 2010-2022 and 5.92% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (2.63%) and near-term (5.92%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.63%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Kansas average (5.92%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (2.63%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (5.92%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (2.63%) and near-term (5.92%).
   
 
Summary of Kansas' 105 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(5.92%)
Above
(5.92%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(2.63%)
4
10
14
Below
(2.63%)
67
24
91
 
71
34
105
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Kansas:
2010-2022 = 2.63%
2022 = 5.92%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Kansas counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Kansas' average annual real federal civilian earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.63%) as well as near-term (2022 = 5.92%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Kansas' 105 counties, just 10 (10%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Kansas:
2010-2022 = 2.63%
2022 = 5.92%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 4 Kansas counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.63%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 5.92%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 4 (4%) of Kansas' 105 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Kansas:
2010-2022 = 2.63%
2022 = 5.92%
This figure shows the distribution of the 24 Kansas counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.63%), while they outpaced Kansas' average near-term (2022 = 5.92%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Kansas' 105 counties, 23% (24) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Kansas:
2010-2022 = 2.63%
2022 = 5.92%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 67 Kansas counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real federal civilian earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.63%) as well as near-term (2022 = 5.92%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real federal civilian earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
64% of Kansas' counties, 67 of 105, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Kansas
Real* Federal Civilian Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
11
2.97
 
9
16.41
1,220
 
3
5.22
 
2
34.48
429
 
10
3.03
 
32
6.37
9,315
 
13
2.90
 
14
12.88
4,083
 
2
6.28
 
7
17.08
450,296
 
7
3.58
 
31
6.74
8,056
 
6
3.96
 
10
14.80
3,932
 
5
4.17
 
6
17.90
7,962
 
4
4.21
 
3
23.57
5,143
 
1
6.62
 
12
14.14
86,274
Slipping Counties
 
8
3.51
 
54
3.37
4,667
 
14
2.85
 
48
3.91
2,177
 
9
3.35
 
64
2.37
544,246
 
12
2.93
 
35
5.84
1,741
Gaining Counties
 
20
2.45
 
13
13.01
4,508
 
24
2.33
 
16
10.84
2,034
 
37
1.74
 
15
11.67
8,184
 
60
0.97
 
19
10.07
2,240
 
28
2.19
 
11
14.35
50,516
 
102
-1.72
 
4
22.96
723
 
32
1.98
 
26
7.90
15,449
 
48
1.39
 
23
8.22
6,242
 
57
1.04
 
27
7.69
1,442
 
53
1.21
 
28
7.51
1,747
 
34
1.83
 
1
35.28
717
 
49
1.37
 
33
6.13
5,831
 
15
2.63
 
22
8.78
5,007
 
33
1.86
 
18
10.32
4,608
 
64
0.84
 
34
5.95
1,816
 
44
1.44
 
30
6.99
5,893
 
70
0.62
 
29
7.36
1,487
 
38
1.66
 
24
8.04
3,277
 
54
1.20
 
5
19.20
2,825
 
62
0.90
 
20
9.04
2,147
 
51
1.27
 
17
10.34
1,782
 
21
2.37
 
8
16.73
3,718
 
101
-1.52
 
25
7.90
1,284
 
85
0.12
 
21
8.86
174,470
Lagging Counties
 
91
-0.20
 
86
-3.64
4,080
 
59
0.97
 
45
4.19
2,513
 
88
-0.09
 
71
1.63
5,731
 
46
1.44
 
58
3.04
6,575
 
98
-0.91
 
104
-15.83
5,124
 
31
2.00
 
50
3.80
10,808
 
97
-0.83
 
103
-15.27
1,143
 
19
2.51
 
40
5.11
4,625
 
73
0.58
 
57
3.07
1,107
 
78
0.36
 
96
-6.41
628
 
50
1.36
 
36
5.67
2,797
 
69
0.68
 
39
5.26
2,702
 
87
-0.03
 
60
2.77
7,531
 
103
-1.81
 
98
-8.46
985
 
94
-0.45
 
91
-4.92
1,237
 
81
0.30
 
79
-0.80
10,206
 
56
1.08
 
73
1.43
22,772
 
27
2.24
 
82
-2.56
300,826
 
90
-0.13
 
88
-3.95
924
 
74
0.53
 
43
4.33
1,926
 
100
-1.02
 
67
2.12
2,310
 
25
2.28
 
42
4.80
808
 
77
0.38
 
66
2.25
2,182
 
29
2.18
 
41
4.84
1,408
 
41
1.57
 
102
-13.06
1,058
 
22
2.36
 
63
2.41
5,269
 
75
0.42
 
89
-4.13
1,716
 
93
-0.31
 
81
-2.51
893
 
43
1.45
 
99
-8.50
2,542
 
105
-3.68
 
100
-8.96
782
 
95
-0.73
 
49
3.81
736
 
71
0.61
 
90
-4.20
2,169
 
79
0.31
 
46
4.13
8,800
 
36
1.78
 
75
0.97
7,496
 
39
1.64
 
61
2.76
3,831
 
16
2.61
 
95
-6.40
1,330
 
55
1.09
 
78
-0.55
2,349
 
83
0.22
 
55
3.26
9,375
 
23
2.35
 
84
-2.96
2,815
 
86
0.02
 
101
-10.47
1,274
 
80
0.30
 
74
1.18
4,099
 
104
-2.25
 
92
-5.57
1,458
 
61
0.91
 
62
2.71
2,119
 
52
1.22
 
94
-6.03
2,756
 
92
-0.21
 
68
2.01
1,117
 
72
0.60
 
47
3.94
17,335
 
68
0.74
 
52
3.48
2,824
 
26
2.27
 
59
2.88
2,428
 
89
-0.11
 
72
1.57
2,198
 
66
0.76
 
51
3.68
25,904
 
35
1.80
 
77
-0.17
1,765
 
17
2.61
 
38
5.41
583,807
 
45
1.44
 
65
2.31
8,639
 
30
2.03
 
37
5.48
359,395
 
84
0.18
 
93
-5.73
888
 
82
0.28
 
85
-3.04
5,041
 
40
1.59
 
70
1.96
2,702
 
76
0.39
 
69
2.00
662
 
42
1.50
 
87
-3.87
1,790
 
65
0.82
 
53
3.44
5,891
 
96
-0.82
 
76
0.13
2,387
 
47
1.42
 
80
-1.00
1,287
 
99
-0.98
 
97
-7.12
587
 
67
0.75
 
83
-2.94
3,167
 
58
1.03
 
105
-27.73
1,147
 
63
0.85
 
56
3.15
2,656
 
18
2.57
 
44
4.27
1,100
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.63
 
5.92
2,936,020
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.98
 
3.80
397,841,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_620100_LSGL
 
   
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