Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Health Care and Social Assistance Earnings Growth
Across Kansas Counties
Real* Health Care and Social Assistance
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2007-2016 and 2016
Real* Health Care and Social Assistance
Earnings Growth
Kansas:
2007-2016 = 3.95%
2016 = 1.95%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real health care and social assistance earnings growth across all of Kansas' 105 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Kansas Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real health care and social assistance earnings growth of Kansas' 105 counties over the latest available year (2016) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2007-2016). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Health Care and Social Assistance
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2007-2016 and 2016
Real* Health Care and Social Assistance
Earnings Growth
Kansas:
2007-2016 = 3.95%
2016 = 1.95%
This figure displays the 105 counties of Kansas as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real health care and social assistance earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2007-2016), and the horizontal axis representing the real health care and social assistance earnings growth rate for the near-term (2016).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real health care and social assistance earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 3.95%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 3.95% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real health care and social assistance earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (3.95%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 15 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2007-2016, while 18 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 23 counties whose most recent (2016) real health care and social assistance earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (1.95%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 10 counties whose real health care and social assistance earnings growth over 2016 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 105 counties corresponding with their long-term (2007-2016) and near-term (2016) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 3.95% over 2007-2016 and 1.95% over 2016:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real health care and social assistance earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (3.95%) and near-term (1.95%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real health care and social assistance earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (3.95%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Kansas average (1.95%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real health care and social assistance earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (3.95%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (1.95%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real health care and social assistance earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (3.95%) and near-term (1.95%).
   
 
Summary of Kansas' 105 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(1.95%)
Above
(1.95%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(3.95%)
2
13
15
Below
(3.95%)
8
10
18
 
10
23
33
 
   
Leading Counties
2016 vs. 2007-2016 Averages
Leading Counties
Kansas:
2007-2016 = 3.95%
2016 = 1.95%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Kansas counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Kansas' average annual real health care and social assistance earnings growth both long-term (2007-2016 = 3.95%) as well as near-term (2016 = 1.95%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real health care and social assistance earnings growth rate over 2007-2016.
Of Kansas' 105 counties, just 13 (12%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2016 vs. 2007-2016 Averages
Slipping Counties
Kansas:
2007-2016 = 3.95%
2016 = 1.95%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 2 Kansas counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real health care and social assistance earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2007-2016 = 3.95%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2016 = 1.95%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real health care and social assistance earnings growth rate over 2007-2016.
Only 2 (2%) of Kansas' 105 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2016 vs. 2007-2016 Averages
Gaining Counties
Kansas:
2007-2016 = 3.95%
2016 = 1.95%
This figure shows the distribution of the 10 Kansas counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real health care and social assistance earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2007-2016 = 3.95%), while they outpaced Kansas' average near-term (2016 = 1.95%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real health care and social assistance earnings growth rate over 2007-2016.
Of Kansas' 105 counties, only 10% (10) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2016 vs. 2007-2016 Averages
Lagging Counties
Kansas:
2007-2016 = 3.95%
2016 = 1.95%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 8 Kansas counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real health care and social assistance earnings growth both long-term (2007-2016 = 3.95%) as well as near-term (2016 = 1.95%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real health care and social assistance earnings growth rate over 2007-2016.
8% of Kansas' counties, 8 of 105, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Kansas
Real* Health Care and Social Assistance Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2007-2016
 
2016
 
 
Leading Counties
 
13
4.09
 
26
2.75
42,118
 
11
4.96
 
28
1.98
9,406
 
10
4.96
 
27
2.56
7,811
 
8
5.41
 
18
4.18
3,036,008
 
14
4.00
 
2
20.34
18,966
 
9
5.38
 
24
3.26
71,545
 
6
5.67
 
22
3.32
14,824
 
12
4.52
 
9
6.99
3,886
 
3
7.25
 
23
3.29
5,688
 
5
5.71
 
12
5.16
347,226
 
15
3.97
 
5
8.41
10,555
 
2
9.41
 
3
16.31
21,907
 
7
5.55
 
4
11.91
2,452
Slipping Counties
 
1
19.32
 
39
-1.29
8,720
 
4
6.35
 
46
-9.06
1,015,840
Gaining Counties
 
29
0.90
 
10
6.61
6,836
 
19
3.55
 
6
7.85
225,740
 
26
1.96
 
8
7.05
26,142
 
23
2.69
 
20
3.76
66,994
 
25
2.17
 
16
4.76
95,523
 
27
1.85
 
21
3.45
23,885
 
22
2.83
 
25
2.91
58,702
 
20
3.40
 
7
7.24
7,396
 
21
3.35
 
19
4.10
203,874
 
17
3.79
 
13
5.14
1,002,773
Lagging Counties
 
31
0.09
 
45
-7.74
7,365
 
18
3.66
 
35
0.12
182,531
 
32
-1.24
 
42
-2.73
3,456
 
16
3.85
 
33
0.29
16,049
 
33
-5.90
 
41
-2.36
3,391
 
30
0.79
 
40
-1.65
222,678
 
24
2.66
 
29
1.88
2,123,622
 
28
1.73
 
43
-4.13
6,361
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
38
-0.49
21,113
 
U
U
 
S
S
16,329
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
30
1.43
152,159
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
14
4.79
48,741
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
86,902
 
U
U
 
37
-0.05
117,581
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
32
0.32
7,268
 
U
U
 
S
S
365
 
U
U
 
11
5.86
8,837
 
U
U
 
17
4.56
116,359
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
48
-18.45
11,142
 
U
U
 
1
49.66
7,962
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
47
-14.02
742
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
31
0.39
80,795
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
12,347
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
34,681
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
36
0.10
10,500
 
U
U
 
34
0.22
46,456
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
15
4.77
2,461
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
44
-7.14
780
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.95
 
1.95
10,706,593
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.37
 
4.81
1,265,484,000
November 2017
REAP_PI_CA1600N_611600_LSGL
 
   
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Copyright © 2017. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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