Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Diagnosing Employment Growth
Across Kansas Counties
Employment Growth by County
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2021 and 2021
Employment Growth by County
Kansas:
2010-2021 = 0.49%
2021 = 2.24%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of employment growth across all of Kansas' 105 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Kansas Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the employment growth of Kansas' 105 counties over the year (2021) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2021). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Employment Growth by County
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2021 and 2021
Employment Growth by County
white dot
Kansas:
2010-2021 = 0.49%
2021 = 2.24%
This figure displays the 105 counties of Kansas as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2021), and the horizontal axis representing the employment growth rate for the near-term (2021).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 0.49%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 0.49% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (0.49%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 25 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2021, while 80 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 23 counties whose most recent (2021) employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.24%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 82 counties whose employment growth over 2021 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 105 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2021) and near-term (2021) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 0.49% over 2010-2021 and 2.24% over 2021:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are the nine counties whose average annual employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (0.49%) and near-term (2.24%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are the sixteen counties whose long-term average annual employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.49%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Kansas average (2.24%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are the fourteen counties whose long-term average annual employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (0.49%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (2.24%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are the sixty-six counties whose average annual employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (0.49%) and near-term (2.24%).
   
 
Summary of Kansas' 105 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(2.24%)
Above
(2.24%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(0.49%)
16
9
25
Below
(0.49%)
66
14
80
 
82
23
105
 
   
Leading Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Kansas:
2010-2021 = 0.49%
2021 = 2.24%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Kansas counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Kansas' average annual employment growth both long-term (2010-2021 = 0.49%) as well as near-term (2021 = 2.24%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021 as noted in the table below.
Of Kansas' 105 counties, just 9 (9%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Slipping Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Slipping Counties
white dot
Kansas:
2010-2021 = 0.49%
2021 = 2.24%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 16 Kansas counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2021 = 0.49%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2021 = 2.24%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021.
Observe that 16 ( 15%) of Kansas' 105 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Gaining Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Kansas:
2010-2021 = 0.49%
2021 = 2.24%
This figure shows the distribution of the 14 Kansas counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2021 = 0.49%), while they outpaced Kansas' average near-term (2021 = 2.24%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021.
Of Kansas' 105 counties, only 13% (14) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Lagging Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Kansas:
2010-2021 = 0.49%
2021 = 2.24%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 66 Kansas counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual employment growth both long-term (2010-2021 = 0.49%) as well as near-term (2021 = 2.24%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021.
63% of Kansas' counties, 66 of 105, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
   
 
Kansas
Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2021
 
2021
 
 
Leading Counties
 
15
0.68
 
1
9.11
4,385
 
21
0.55
 
10
3.12
30,643
 
23
0.52
 
13
3.08
1,773
 
13
0.77
 
20
2.44
1,384
 
1
1.41
 
9
3.26
478,963
 
2
1.37
 
17
2.62
14,769
 
5
1.25
 
8
3.28
1,889
 
25
0.49
 
2
6.28
5,940
 
24
0.50
 
7
3.29
339,423
Slipping Counties
 
19
0.60
 
39
1.79
72,257
 
17
0.64
 
49
1.46
25,006
 
20
0.56
 
74
0.34
24,323
 
22
0.55
 
72
0.43
2,315
 
8
0.93
 
79
0.17
1,214
 
7
1.10
 
65
0.92
2,964
 
11
0.84
 
25
2.17
2,358
 
16
0.65
 
48
1.47
21,941
 
9
0.92
 
37
1.80
14,763
 
12
0.83
 
70
0.58
7,630
 
3
1.30
 
59
1.06
3,436
 
6
1.17
 
56
1.13
2,144
 
4
1.26
 
33
1.98
1,651
 
18
0.61
 
46
1.56
3,189
 
10
0.86
 
36
1.85
1,214
 
14
0.75
 
76
0.20
106,989
Gaining Counties
 
58
-0.11
 
11
3.11
8,131
 
84
-0.52
 
23
2.27
8,010
 
80
-0.50
 
21
2.30
1,201
 
74
-0.39
 
5
4.05
9,715
 
63
-0.21
 
6
3.41
3,758
 
30
0.36
 
12
3.08
22,058
 
34
0.29
 
4
4.06
14,325
 
31
0.34
 
3
4.51
1,901
 
45
0.09
 
15
2.80
20,080
 
35
0.28
 
18
2.51
2,205
 
37
0.27
 
16
2.72
2,754
 
96
-0.92
 
14
2.87
5,737
 
64
-0.21
 
22
2.28
37,350
 
39
0.19
 
19
2.51
120,650
Lagging Counties
 
65
-0.23
 
45
1.58
3,344
 
70
-0.28
 
92
-0.52
18,199
 
86
-0.65
 
95
-0.65
8,881
 
88
-0.71
 
38
1.79
6,697
 
29
0.36
 
105
-3.05
1,558
 
83
-0.51
 
68
0.75
1,739
 
78
-0.45
 
99
-1.32
8,419
 
54
-0.01
 
67
0.83
1,463
 
72
-0.37
 
41
1.64
4,828
 
98
-0.93
 
32
1.99
5,128
 
97
-0.92
 
54
1.20
5,668
 
59
-0.12
 
24
2.19
19,178
 
32
0.32
 
35
1.96
23,493
 
101
-1.15
 
87
-0.19
1,592
 
89
-0.74
 
50
1.38
1,693
 
99
-1.02
 
89
-0.22
1,375
 
50
0.01
 
88
-0.19
3,635
 
75
-0.39
 
82
-0.05
32,910
 
93
-0.80
 
42
1.64
1,927
 
105
-1.74
 
102
-2.16
3,936
 
51
0.01
 
75
0.32
4,650
 
71
-0.32
 
69
0.62
3,263
 
40
0.18
 
63
0.95
4,038
 
48
0.02
 
30
2.12
6,740
 
57
-0.09
 
31
2.06
6,891
 
85
-0.60
 
71
0.53
1,722
 
36
0.27
 
96
-0.84
5,048
 
43
0.13
 
90
-0.25
2,007
 
66
-0.23
 
98
-1.09
12,750
 
102
-1.39
 
94
-0.64
1,236
 
26
0.45
 
51
1.33
33,980
 
87
-0.67
 
101
-1.97
1,743
 
41
0.16
 
47
1.55
4,133
 
42
0.14
 
26
2.17
21,140
 
60
-0.16
 
44
1.62
6,465
 
68
-0.25
 
91
-0.42
7,120
 
67
-0.25
 
62
1.00
4,932
 
100
-1.08
 
27
2.16
19,008
 
28
0.40
 
40
1.69
2,953
 
103
-1.44
 
86
-0.16
1,837
 
92
-0.80
 
93
-0.53
8,973
 
91
-0.75
 
100
-1.42
2,422
 
90
-0.74
 
61
1.04
3,511
 
73
-0.39
 
52
1.25
2,503
 
82
-0.51
 
73
0.36
2,532
 
104
-1.70
 
83
-0.08
3,839
 
69
-0.26
 
64
0.92
3,726
 
53
0.00
 
80
0.16
6,815
 
76
-0.41
 
28
2.16
36,413
 
81
-0.50
 
84
-0.09
3,268
 
27
0.42
 
60
1.05
42,221
 
52
0.00
 
53
1.22
3,579
 
62
-0.20
 
29
2.12
2,115
 
33
0.29
 
43
1.62
5,145
 
79
-0.47
 
34
1.96
14,072
 
61
-0.20
 
81
0.00
3,896
 
47
0.05
 
55
1.17
2,506
 
55
-0.04
 
66
0.91
2,667
 
56
-0.05
 
85
-0.11
10,217
 
46
0.06
 
58
1.06
6,086
 
38
0.23
 
78
0.17
2,290
 
95
-0.88
 
103
-2.40
2,811
 
49
0.01
 
97
-0.89
3,684
 
77
-0.44
 
104
-2.55
1,374
 
94
-0.84
 
57
1.11
4,898
 
44
0.10
 
77
0.19
1,605
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.49
 
2.24
1,920,925
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.31
 
3.82
202,752,100
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_LSGL
 
   
Copyright © 2023. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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